2013 ILS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

733.3007 UGX

YEARLY LOW

695.3568 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

716.6087 UGX

2013 ILS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ILS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 18, valuing the pair at 733.3007. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 15, dropping to 695.3568.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 37.9439 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 717.8261 to the December average rate of 717.3980, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.06% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 733.3007 was up 1.83% compared to the 2012 peak of 720.1462, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,666,504 UGX

2012 Average 3,251,673 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,476,784 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 189,719.72 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

722.3994

710.5330

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 715.3111, compared to 717.9063 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.5952 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 715.3111

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 717.9063

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 31.0745 UGX (High: 726.4313 / Low: 695.3568). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.6373 UGX (High: 716.5398 / Low: 708.9025).

April Spread (Volatile) ±31.0745

November Spread (Stable) ±7.6373

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 4.3126 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.3126

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2013: 719.9880) against the same month in 2012 (average: 638.4995), the exchange rate shifted by +81.4886 (+12.76%).

2013 Avg (September) 719.9880

2012 Avg (September) 638.4995

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	726.4345	713.7674	717.8261
February	730.4756	713.5318	719.9101
March	724.5982	709.0925	715.8344
April	726.4313	695.3568	711.5219
May	726.4917	701.4998	712.1081
June	723.4679	702.3559	714.6660
July	726.5505	708.1591	718.5884
August	729.7731	706.9204	721.4105
September	733.3007	706.5617	719.9880
October	723.0842	710.9418	716.6329
November	716.5398	708.9025	713.4199
December	727.4276	711.0168	717.3980