2014 ILS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

777.6627 UGX

YEARLY LOW

693.7056 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

726.5496 UGX

2014 ILS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ILS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 777.6627. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 6, dropping to 693.7056.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 83.9571 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 715.9080 to the December average rate of 703.5859, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 777.6627 was up 6.05% compared to the 2013 peak of 733.3007, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,888,314 UGX

2013 Average 3,583,001 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,468,528 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 419,785.44 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

775.0282

695.5687

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 724.9181, compared to 728.1810 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.2629 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 724.9181

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 728.1810

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was August, with a trading range of 37.1552 UGX (High: 765.5156 / Low: 728.3603). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 9.5252 UGX (High: 734.6436 / Low: 725.1184).

August Spread (Volatile) ±37.1552

May Spread (Stable) ±9.5252

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 25.8663 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -25.8663

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 768.4065) against the same month in 2013 (average: 718.5884), the exchange rate shifted by +49.8182 (+6.93%).

2014 Avg (July) 768.4065

2013 Avg (July) 718.5884

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	727.0317	705.0639	715.9080
February	723.4890	697.7411	702.1903
March	738.0796	721.2979	728.2478
April	736.6653	721.2440	726.9718
May	734.6436	725.1184	730.0227
June	759.3637	732.0812	746.1681
July	777.6627	753.6889	768.4065
August	765.5156	728.3603	746.1348
September	731.4323	715.1588	720.2685
October	724.2218	710.7454	717.6111
November	719.2649	707.6961	713.0794
December	712.3810	693.7056	703.5859