2016 ILS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

953.9614 UGX

YEARLY LOW

857.5916 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

890.3232 UGX

2016 ILS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ILS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 7, valuing the pair at 953.9614. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 27, dropping to 857.5916.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 96.3698 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 872.6828 to the December average rate of 939.6715, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 953.9614 was down 0.80% compared to the 2015 peak of 961.6231, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,769,807 UGX

2015 Average 4,170,599 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,287,958 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 481,848.79 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

946.6487

862.9215

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 875.9472, compared to 904.6993 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 28.7521 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 875.9472

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 904.6993

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 37.8070 UGX (High: 945.5727 / Low: 907.7657). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 10.0629 UGX (High: 903.4772 / Low: 893.4143).

November Spread (Volatile) ±37.8070

September Spread (Stable) ±10.0629

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 8.9623 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -8.9623

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 939.6715) against the same month in 2015 (average: 867.8819), the exchange rate shifted by +71.7895 (+8.27%).

2016 Avg (December) 939.6715

2015 Avg (December) 867.8819

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	881.0922	861.7022	872.6828
February	894.2091	857.5916	877.9175
March	895.8863	858.4781	869.8988
April	893.0105	877.9190	886.0507
May	887.6542	865.2304	877.0884
June	884.6518	865.0233	872.0448
July	885.4658	869.4698	876.6385
August	897.4312	877.5424	888.3688
September	903.4772	893.4143	898.1663
October	904.7874	891.9258	898.5343
November	945.5727	907.7657	926.8161
December	953.9614	927.0127	939.6715