2012 ILS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

720.1462 UGX

YEARLY LOW

607.5274 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

650.2406 UGX

2012 ILS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ILS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 720.1462. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 26, dropping to 607.5274.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 112.6188 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 633.2677 to the December average rate of 707.5300, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 720.1462 was down 9.05% compared to the 2011 peak of 791.8166, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,600,731 UGX

2011 Average 3,529,753 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,037,637 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 563,093.94 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

716.2006

612.1539

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 645.4042, compared to 655.0770 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 9.6728 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 645.4042

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 655.0770

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was November, with a trading range of 45.2779 UGX (High: 703.7775 / Low: 658.4997). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 10.7855 UGX (High: 673.3968 / Low: 662.6113).

November Spread (Volatile) ±45.2779

April Spread (Stable) ±10.7855

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 19.7704 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -19.7704

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 707.5300) against the same month in 2011 (average: 649.1687), the exchange rate shifted by +58.3613 (+8.99%).

2012 Avg (December) 707.5300

2011 Avg (December) 649.1687

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	649.7477	621.8974	633.2677
February	649.7959	615.2759	624.8476
March	674.8727	644.0162	659.6207
April	673.3968	662.6113	667.6655
May	666.7090	639.6779	647.8951
June	647.0742	626.9739	639.1288
July	632.2206	607.5274	620.8244
August	628.9997	612.3732	621.3304
September	653.6876	623.8606	638.4995
October	679.1355	654.8432	670.2087
November	703.7775	658.4997	672.0692
December	720.1462	700.2799	707.5300