2018 ILS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1079.8755 UGX

YEARLY LOW

978.9783 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1037.2296 UGX

2018 ILS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ILS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 1079.8755. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 978.9783.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 100.8972 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1063.9844 to the December average rate of 989.4562, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1079.8755 was up 2.88% compared to the 2017 peak of 1049.6409, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,399,378 UGX

2017 Average 5,030,493 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,894,892 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 504,486.03 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1072.4232

981.9138

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1051.2797, compared to 1023.1795 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 28.1002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1051.2797

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1023.1795

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 58.1247 UGX (High: 1065.5939 / Low: 1007.4693). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 14.7337 UGX (High: 1062.2679 / Low: 1047.5342).

July Spread (Volatile) ±58.1247

March Spread (Stable) ±14.7337

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 33.6695 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -33.6695

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 1064.8807) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1016.8185), the exchange rate shifted by +48.0622 (+4.73%).

2018 Avg (June) 1064.8807

2017 Avg (June) 1016.8185

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1074.5537	1045.4170	1063.9844
February	1058.5787	1025.5598	1040.4577
March	1062.2679	1047.5342	1054.6609
April	1053.9720	1031.0933	1044.7782
May	1059.2560	1023.5441	1038.9160
June	1079.8755	1057.3091	1064.8807
July	1065.5939	1007.4693	1031.2112
August	1044.6715	997.5690	1018.0045
September	1070.8736	1042.0495	1058.5457
October	1051.6644	1010.9819	1033.0592
November	1024.7931	996.6312	1008.8000
December	1004.9892	978.9783	989.4562