2012 KES to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4007 GMD

YEARLY LOW

0.3347 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3681 GMD

2012 KES to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 31, valuing the pair at 0.4007. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 0.3347.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0659 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3444 to the December average rate of 0.3611, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.4007 was up 14.68% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.3494, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,003 GMD

2011 Average 1,593 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 1,674 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 329.66 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.3983

0.3395

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3599, compared to 0.3764 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0166 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3599

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3764

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was November, with a trading range of 0.0499 GMD (High: 0.3988 / Low: 0.3489). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0108 GMD (High: 0.3780 / Low: 0.3672).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0499

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0108

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0319 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0319

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2012: 0.3934) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.2877), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1057 (+36.75%).

2012 Avg (October) 0.3934

2011 Avg (October) 0.2877

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3602	0.3347	0.3444
February	0.3746	0.3539	0.3655
March	0.3756	0.3545	0.3681
April	0.3620	0.3484	0.3560
May	0.3650	0.3510	0.3605
June	0.3763	0.3495	0.3647
July	0.3780	0.3672	0.3735
August	0.3976	0.3731	0.3786
September	0.3980	0.3851	0.3905
October	0.4007	0.3867	0.3934
November	0.3988	0.3489	0.3615
December	0.3786	0.3462	0.3611