YEARLY HIGH
0.4842 GMD
YEARLY LOW
0.4364 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4537 GMD

2014 KES to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the KES to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 6, valuing the pair at 0.4842. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 0.4364.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0478 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4415 to the December average rate of 0.4767, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.96% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.4842 was up 8.74% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.4453, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,421 GMD
2013 Average 1,967 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 2,182 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 238.96 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.4833
0.4369
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4466, compared to 0.4607 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0141 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4466
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4607

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.0410 GMD (High: 0.4835 / Low: 0.4424). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0031 GMD (High: 0.4428 / Low: 0.4397).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0410
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0031

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0043 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0043

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 0.4794) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.4009), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0785 (+19.57%).

2014 Avg (November) 0.4794
2013 Avg (November) 0.4009

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4456 0.4364 0.4415
February 0.4457 0.4399 0.4422
March 0.4428 0.4397 0.4407
April 0.4577 0.4383 0.4482
May 0.4564 0.4512 0.4538
June 0.4560 0.4501 0.4531
July 0.4532 0.4488 0.4515
August 0.4520 0.4485 0.4507
September 0.4512 0.4429 0.4464
October 0.4835 0.4424 0.4596
November 0.4842 0.4777 0.4794
December 0.4781 0.4738 0.4767