YEARLY HIGH
0.4780 GMD
YEARLY LOW
0.3680 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4216 GMD

2015 KES to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the KES to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 0.4780. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 16, dropping to 0.3680.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1099 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4701 to the December average rate of 0.3868, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.4780 was down 1.29% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.4842, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,390 GMD
2014 Average 2,269 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 1,840 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 549.74 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.4811
0.3641
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4590, compared to 0.3842 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0748 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4590
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3842

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was June, with a trading range of 0.0478 GMD (High: 0.4463 / Low: 0.3985). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0046 GMD (High: 0.3891 / Low: 0.3844).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0478
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0046

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0442 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0442

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2015: 0.4714) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.4422), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0292 (+6.60%).

2015 Avg (February) 0.4714
2014 Avg (February) 0.4422

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4765 0.4622 0.4701
February 0.4780 0.4682 0.4714
March 0.4723 0.4664 0.4690
April 0.4675 0.4543 0.4611
May 0.4539 0.4383 0.4467
June 0.4463 0.3985 0.4356
July 0.3982 0.3856 0.3914
August 0.3944 0.3805 0.3878
September 0.3856 0.3680 0.3738
October 0.3890 0.3734 0.3812
November 0.3884 0.3804 0.3844
December 0.3891 0.3844 0.3868