YEARLY HIGH
0.5110 GMD
YEARLY LOW
0.4795 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4912 GMD

2019 KES to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the KES to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 22, valuing the pair at 0.5110. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 30, dropping to 0.4795.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0315 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4874 to the December average rate of 0.5061, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.84% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.5110 was up 3.80% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.4923, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,555 GMD
2018 Average 2,374 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 2,397 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 157.33 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.5084
0.4808
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4908, compared to 0.4917 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0009 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4908
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4917

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.0123 GMD (High: 0.5110 / Low: 0.4987). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0034 GMD (High: 0.4922 / Low: 0.4889).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0123
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0034

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0045 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0045

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 0.5061) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.4841), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0220 (+4.55%).

2019 Avg (December) 0.5061
2018 Avg (December) 0.4841

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4938 0.4834 0.4874
February 0.4956 0.4919 0.4943
March 0.4982 0.4913 0.4944
April 0.4931 0.4881 0.4904
May 0.4922 0.4889 0.4905
June 0.4923 0.4851 0.4876
July 0.4862 0.4795 0.4831
August 0.4882 0.4840 0.4856
September 0.4902 0.4826 0.4855
October 0.4960 0.4860 0.4894
November 0.5072 0.4958 0.5002
December 0.5110 0.4987 0.5061