2013 KES to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4453 GMD

YEARLY LOW

0.3710 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3933 GMD

2013 KES to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the KES to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 0.4453. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 17, dropping to 0.3710.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0743 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3846 to the December average rate of 0.4394, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.4453 was up 11.13% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.4007, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,226 GMD

2012 Average 1,841 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 1,855 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 371.26 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.4460

0.3668

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3946, compared to 0.3920 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0026 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3946

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3920

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was November, with a trading range of 0.0613 GMD (High: 0.4388 / Low: 0.3775). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0082 GMD (High: 0.3792 / Low: 0.3710).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0613

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0082

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0433 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0433

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 0.4394) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.3611), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0783 (+21.69%).

2013 Avg (December) 0.4394

2012 Avg (December) 0.3611

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3954	0.3727	0.3846
February	0.3896	0.3757	0.3816
March	0.3958	0.3818	0.3881
April	0.3977	0.3861	0.3931
May	0.4180	0.3917	0.3977
June	0.4308	0.3975	0.4222
July	0.4176	0.3720	0.3790
August	0.4010	0.3716	0.3758
September	0.3792	0.3710	0.3734
October	0.3875	0.3758	0.3834
November	0.4388	0.3775	0.4009
December	0.4453	0.4323	0.4394