2016 KES to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4263 GMD

YEARLY LOW

0.3837 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4136 GMD

2016 KES to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 7, valuing the pair at 0.4263. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 0.3837.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0426 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3859 to the December average rate of 0.4190, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.57% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4263 was down 10.80% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4780, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,132 GMD

2015 Average 2,106 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 1,918 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 213.20 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.4282

0.3821

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4068, compared to 0.4204 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0136 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4068

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4204

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0365 GMD (High: 0.4221 / Low: 0.3855). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0025 GMD (High: 0.4223 / Low: 0.4198).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0365

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0025

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0023 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0023

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.4243) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4467), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0224 (-5.01%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.4243

2015 Avg (May) 0.4467

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3877	0.3837	0.3859
February	0.3894	0.3846	0.3871
March	0.4221	0.3855	0.4003
April	0.4233	0.4189	0.4213
May	0.4263	0.4216	0.4243
June	0.4237	0.4191	0.4220
July	0.4231	0.4202	0.4214
August	0.4232	0.4176	0.4207
September	0.4220	0.4193	0.4208
October	0.4223	0.4198	0.4211
November	0.4222	0.4166	0.4197
December	0.4246	0.4154	0.4190