2011 LRD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

40.2210 UGX

YEARLY LOW

31.7339 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

35.0191 UGX

2011 LRD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the LRD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 23, valuing the pair at 40.2210. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 31.7339.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.4871 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 32.5074 to the December average rate of 34.0073, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.61% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 40.2210 was up 16.63% compared to the 2010 peak of 34.4871, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 201,105 UGX

2010 Average 154,010 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 158,670 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 42,435.45 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

39.8663

31.7331

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 33.0508, compared to 36.9873 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.9366 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 33.0508

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 36.9873

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 4.1562 UGX (High: 39.7969 / Low: 35.6407). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8295 UGX (High: 33.6521 / Low: 32.8226).

October Spread (Volatile) ±4.1562

May Spread (Stable) ±0.8295

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.7488 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7488

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 39.1885) against the same month in 2010 (average: 31.5747), the exchange rate shifted by +7.6138 (+24.11%).

2011 Avg (September) 39.1885

2010 Avg (September) 31.5747

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	34.1901	31.7339	32.5074
February	33.1120	31.8376	32.4109
March	33.7958	32.6672	33.2585
April	33.3444	32.4706	33.0382
May	33.6521	32.8226	33.1724
June	36.6818	33.0236	33.9174
July	36.2032	35.0432	35.6972
August	39.2062	36.0594	38.1433
September	40.2210	38.3441	39.1885
October	39.7969	35.6407	38.8182
November	36.6760	34.9918	36.0694
December	35.9192	32.5856	34.0073