YEARLY HIGH
24.5550 UGX
YEARLY LOW
19.1988 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
21.4412 UGX

2023 LRD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the LRD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 24.5550. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 6, dropping to 19.1988.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.3562 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 23.7618 to the December average rate of 20.0908, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 24.5550 was down 3.32% compared to the 2022 peak of 25.3989, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 122,775 UGX
2022 Average 120,697 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 95,994 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 26,780.77 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

24.1623
19.3563
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 22.8760, compared to 20.0063 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.8697 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 22.8760
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 20.0063

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 1.8190 UGX (High: 22.1708 / Low: 20.3518). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2100 UGX (High: 20.1959 / Low: 19.9858).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.8190
October Spread (Stable) ±0.2100

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.2953 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2953

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2023: 23.4387) against the same month in 2022 (average: 23.3863), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0523 (+0.22%).

2023 Avg (March) 23.4387
2022 Avg (March) 23.3863

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 24.1542 23.4828 23.7618
February 24.1993 23.2961 23.5667
March 24.5550 22.9408 23.4387
April 23.2833 22.6033 22.9466
May 22.5834 22.1860 22.3168
June 22.1708 20.3518 21.2257
July 20.4423 19.3590 19.9304
August 20.0986 19.1988 19.7568
September 20.2104 19.9361 20.0640
October 20.1959 19.9858 20.0804
November 20.3018 20.0015 20.1153
December 20.2300 19.9499 20.0908