2016 LRD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

41.2360 UGX

YEARLY LOW

35.5247 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

38.3012 UGX

2016 LRD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LRD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 41.2360. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 19, dropping to 35.5247.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.7113 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 40.2764 to the December average rate of 39.1663, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 41.2360 was down 5.78% compared to the 2015 peak of 43.7666, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 206,180 UGX

2015 Average 188,598 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 177,623 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 28,556.60 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

40.9373

36.3654

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 38.7850, compared to 37.8173 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9677 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 38.7850

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 37.8173

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 3.2529 UGX (High: 39.8103 / Low: 36.5573). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3564 UGX (High: 37.6472 / Low: 37.2908).

April Spread (Volatile) ±3.2529

July Spread (Stable) ±0.3564

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.6682 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6682

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 40.5564) against the same month in 2015 (average: 33.8535), the exchange rate shifted by +6.7029 (+19.80%).

2016 Avg (February) 40.5564

2015 Avg (February) 33.8535

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	41.0485	38.3512	40.2764
February	41.2360	39.6291	40.5564
March	39.8896	39.4540	39.7028
April	39.8103	36.5573	38.0346
May	37.4178	36.6446	36.9522
June	37.7547	36.9683	37.1880
July	37.6472	37.2908	37.4206
August	37.4611	35.5247	36.7464
September	37.1043	36.7112	36.9580
October	38.3562	36.8490	37.5060
November	39.9828	38.1082	39.1067
December	40.0140	38.1400	39.1663