2018 LRD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

29.8767 UGX

YEARLY LOW

22.9741 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

26.0730 UGX

2018 LRD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LRD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 29.8767. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 16, dropping to 22.9741.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.9026 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 28.6951 to the December average rate of 23.5664, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 29.8767 was down 25.81% compared to the 2017 peak of 40.2722, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 149,383 UGX

2017 Average 175,622 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 114,871 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 34,512.91 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

29.3592

23.0398

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 28.0695, compared to 24.0764 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.9931 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 28.0695

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 24.0764

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 3.0449 UGX (High: 26.0190 / Low: 22.9741). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2248 UGX (High: 23.6545 / Low: 23.4296).

July Spread (Volatile) ±3.0449

December Spread (Stable) ±0.2248

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2.7454 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7454

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 28.8325) against the same month in 2017 (average: 38.0778), the exchange rate shifted by -9.2453 (-24.28%).

2018 Avg (February) 28.8325

2017 Avg (February) 38.0778

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	29.5839	28.0941	28.6951
February	29.8767	27.9125	28.8325
March	28.0464	27.7633	27.8869
April	28.3339	27.9125	28.1958
May	28.3982	27.1841	27.8467
June	27.6136	25.8671	26.9602
July	26.0190	22.9741	24.2149
August	24.4416	24.0863	24.3076
September	24.7488	23.8811	24.5580
October	24.5800	23.9089	24.1213
November	23.8960	23.4453	23.6904
December	23.6545	23.4296	23.5664