2019 LRD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

23.6525 UGX

YEARLY LOW

17.4375 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

20.1147 UGX

2019 LRD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the LRD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 23.6525. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 17, dropping to 17.4375.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.2150 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 23.2831 to the December average rate of 19.4822, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 23.6525 was down 20.83% compared to the 2018 peak of 29.8767, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 118,263 UGX

2018 Average 130,264 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 87,187 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 31,075.20 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

23.8596

16.9407

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 21.9499, compared to 18.2796 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.6703 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 21.9499

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.2796

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was May, with a trading range of 2.3129 UGX (High: 22.0493 / Low: 19.7364). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1660 UGX (High: 22.9194 / Low: 22.7535).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.3129

February Spread (Stable) ±0.1660

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.7328 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.7328

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 23.2831) against the same month in 2018 (average: 28.6951), the exchange rate shifted by -5.4120 (-18.86%).

2019 Avg (January) 23.2831

2018 Avg (January) 28.6951

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	23.6525	22.7530	23.2831
February	22.9194	22.7535	22.8081
March	22.9543	22.7410	22.8503
April	22.8481	22.0314	22.5405
May	22.0493	19.7364	20.9750
June	19.7364	18.8194	19.2422
July	18.9771	18.2519	18.4806
August	18.2436	17.7632	18.1299
September	17.8030	17.4787	17.6459
October	17.6303	17.4375	17.5173
November	19.1826	17.4833	18.4216
December	19.5890	19.2424	19.4822