2014 LRD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

31.9411 UGX

YEARLY LOW

28.0664 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

29.4520 UGX

2014 LRD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the LRD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 23, valuing the pair at 31.9411. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 19, dropping to 28.0664.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8747 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 29.8868 to the December average rate of 30.2302, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 31.9411 was down 14.33% compared to the 2013 peak of 37.2851, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 159,706 UGX

2013 Average 168,979 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 140,332 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,373.50 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

30.9820

28.2579

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 29.7118, compared to 29.1923 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5196 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 29.7118

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 29.1923

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was March, with a trading range of 2.5284 UGX (High: 31.9411 / Low: 29.4127). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3180 UGX (High: 30.4090 / Low: 30.0910).

March Spread (Volatile) ±2.5284

December Spread (Stable) ±0.3180

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.1481 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1481

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2014: 30.7550) against the same month in 2013 (average: 35.4516), the exchange rate shifted by -4.6966 (-13.25%).

2014 Avg (March) 30.7550

2013 Avg (March) 35.4516

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	31.3309	28.9155	29.8868
February	29.5604	28.6811	28.8734
March	31.9411	29.4127	30.7550
April	29.9848	29.2906	29.6069
May	31.2366	29.1193	29.8559
June	30.8429	28.7194	29.2931
July	29.3302	28.0664	28.7113
August	28.6609	28.2386	28.4849
September	28.9877	28.4284	28.6204
October	29.6682	28.9015	29.2426
November	30.3542	29.4132	29.8641
December	30.4090	30.0910	30.2302