2016 MAD to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

18.5936 DJF

YEARLY LOW

17.4461 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

18.1295 DJF

2016 MAD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MAD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 3, valuing the pair at 18.5936. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 17.4461.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1475 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.9363 to the December average rate of 17.6473, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 18.5936 was down 5.44% compared to the 2015 peak of 19.6632, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 92,968 DJF

2015 Average 91,125 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 87,230 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,737.64 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

18.4756

17.5720

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 18.2309, compared to 18.0280 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2029 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 18.2309

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.0280

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.5707 DJF (High: 18.1972 / Low: 17.6264). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1348 DJF (High: 18.2993 / Low: 18.1645).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.5707

September Spread (Stable) ±0.1348

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2240 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2240

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 18.3613) against the same month in 2015 (average: 18.2334), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1280 (+0.70%).

2016 Avg (May) 18.3613

2015 Avg (May) 18.2334

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	18.1001	17.8142	17.9363
February	18.4238	17.9344	18.1732
March	18.4604	17.9289	18.2086
April	18.5103	18.3137	18.4003
May	18.5936	18.2036	18.3613
June	18.4664	18.1126	18.3058
July	18.1759	17.9758	18.0840
August	18.4439	18.0977	18.2328
September	18.2993	18.1645	18.2514
October	18.3030	17.9074	18.0882
November	18.1972	17.6264	17.8642
December	17.8645	17.4461	17.6473