YEARLY HIGH
19.5777 DJF
YEARLY LOW
18.5252 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
18.9498 DJF

2018 MAD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MAD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 19.5777. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 18.5252.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0525 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 19.3149 to the December average rate of 18.6637, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 19.5777 was up 1.90% compared to the 2017 peak of 19.2133, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 97,888 DJF
2017 Average 92,191 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 92,626 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,262.50 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

19.3868
18.5979
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 19.1203, compared to 18.7793 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3410 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 19.1203
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.7793

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.4677 DJF (High: 19.5777 / Low: 19.1100). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1358 DJF (High: 18.8766 / Low: 18.7408).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.4677
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1358

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.3423 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3423

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 19.3210) against the same month in 2017 (average: 17.7807), the exchange rate shifted by +1.5403 (+8.66%).

2018 Avg (February) 19.3210
2017 Avg (February) 17.7807

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 19.5209 19.0788 19.3149
February 19.5777 19.1100 19.3210
March 19.3972 19.1880 19.2787
April 19.3154 19.0377 19.2013
May 19.0221 18.6069 18.8590
June 18.8805 18.6308 18.7469
July 18.8766 18.7408 18.8161
August 18.9796 18.5924 18.7755
September 19.0478 18.8315 18.9326
October 18.8882 18.6013 18.7725
November 18.8233 18.5652 18.7155
December 18.7771 18.5252 18.6637