YEARLY HIGH
18.8494 DJF
YEARLY LOW
15.4848 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
18.5065 DJF

2019 MAD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MAD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 18.8494. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 15.4848.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3646 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 18.5740 to the December average rate of 18.5007, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.39% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 18.8494 was down 3.72% compared to the 2018 peak of 19.5777, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 94,247 DJF
2018 Average 94,737 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 77,424 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,823.14 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

18.6868
18.3699
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 18.5267, compared to 18.4863 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0405 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 18.5267
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.4863

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 3.3646 DJF (High: 18.8494 / Low: 15.4848). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1217 DJF (High: 18.7370 / Low: 18.6154).

January Spread (Volatile) ±3.3646
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1217

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1744 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1744

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 18.5740) against the same month in 2018 (average: 19.3149), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7409 (-3.84%).

2019 Avg (January) 18.5740
2018 Avg (January) 19.3149

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 18.8494 15.4848 18.5740
February 18.7370 18.6154 18.6604
March 18.6233 18.4161 18.5193
April 18.5577 18.3928 18.4718
May 18.4801 18.2945 18.4035
June 18.7212 18.3277 18.5314
July 18.6302 18.4546 18.5640
August 18.7756 18.4422 18.5706
September 18.5838 18.2357 18.3963
October 18.5441 18.3221 18.4395
November 18.5159 18.3776 18.4465
December 18.6114 18.4397 18.5007