YEARLY HIGH
3165.2271 IRR
YEARLY LOW
2945.7433 IRR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3075.9079 IRR

2016 MAD to IRR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MAD to IRR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 3165.2271. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 2945.7433.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 219.4838 IRR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3028.6370 to the December average rate of 2973.9484, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3165.2271 was up 0.98% compared to the 2015 peak of 3134.4869, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,826,136 IRR
2015 Average 14,850,903 IRR
Yearly Trough Low 14,728,717 IRR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,097,418.89 IRR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3147.0908
2958.2081
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to IRR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3099.6029, compared to 3052.2129 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 47.3900 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3099.6029
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3052.2129

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 101.4753 IRR (High: 3130.4531 / Low: 3028.9778). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 25.1451 IRR (High: 3107.2007 / Low: 3082.0556).

February Spread (Volatile) ±101.4753
September Spread (Stable) ±25.1451

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 49.6544 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -49.6544

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 3129.8963) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2918.2166), the exchange rate shifted by +211.6797 (+7.25%).

2016 Avg (May) 3129.8963
2015 Avg (May) 2918.2166

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3055.1080 3008.0463 3028.6370
February 3130.4531 3028.9778 3086.6230
March 3143.1597 3048.4193 3097.5226
April 3150.3063 3117.2335 3131.3506
May 3165.2271 3102.3170 3129.8963
June 3147.8263 3077.0031 3123.5881
July 3115.6355 3053.4795 3073.9338
August 3123.8093 3069.4962 3091.0966
September 3107.2007 3082.0556 3094.0317
October 3096.4351 3032.9320 3061.8282
November 3072.9852 2980.3609 3018.4387
December 3014.4366 2945.7433 2973.9484