YEARLY HIGH
4546.3082 IRR
YEARLY LOW
4312.3508 IRR
YEARLY AVERAGE
4384.1882 IRR

2019 MAD to IRR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MAD to IRR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 4546.3082. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 4312.3508.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 233.9573 IRR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4438.5144 to the December average rate of 4375.9790, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4546.3082 was down 2.17% compared to the 2018 peak of 4647.0450, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,731,541 IRR
2018 Average 21,661,313 IRR
Yearly Trough Low 21,561,754 IRR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,169,786.69 IRR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4447.1483
4343.5415
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to IRR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4395.8636, compared to 4372.5128 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 23.3509 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4395.8636
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4372.5128

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 172.1717 IRR (High: 4546.3082 / Low: 4374.1364). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 37.6964 IRR (High: 4384.8321 / Low: 4347.1357).

January Spread (Volatile) ±172.1717
November Spread (Stable) ±37.6964

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 39.9578 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -39.9578

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 4438.5144) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3895.8982), the exchange rate shifted by +542.6162 (+13.93%).

2019 Avg (January) 4438.5144
2018 Avg (January) 3895.8982

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4546.3082 4374.1364 4438.5144
February 4457.6792 4403.3675 4415.0905
March 4446.2899 4356.2253 4387.2715
April 4425.9247 4350.7355 4379.8941
May 4406.8196 4326.2679 4358.9620
June 4473.1384 4335.3137 4395.4492
July 4406.8701 4364.1142 4390.5326
August 4440.6383 4361.1787 4392.1332
September 4415.8061 4312.3508 4352.1754
October 4386.5087 4332.7779 4361.2716
November 4384.8321 4347.1357 4362.9848
December 4402.4407 4361.8081 4375.9790