YEARLY HIGH
15.3688 DJF
YEARLY LOW
14.1523 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.7440 DJF

2012 MDL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MDL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 1, valuing the pair at 15.3688. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 2, dropping to 14.1523.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2165 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.1278 to the December average rate of 14.6007, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 15.3688 was down 2.92% compared to the 2011 peak of 15.8317, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 76,844 DJF
2011 Average 75,934 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 70,761 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,082.40 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

15.3077
14.1648
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.0642, compared to 14.4238 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6404 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.0642
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.4238

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.5684 DJF (High: 15.3688 / Low: 14.8004). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1571 DJF (High: 14.4820 / Low: 14.3250).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.5684
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1571

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.4150 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4150

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2012: 15.0824) against the same month in 2011 (average: 15.3398), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2574 (-1.68%).

2012 Avg (May) 15.0824
2011 Avg (May) 15.3398

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.3432 14.9518 15.1278
February 15.2450 14.8997 15.0817
March 15.2451 15.0215 15.0977
April 15.3170 15.1026 15.2124
May 15.3688 14.8004 15.0824
June 14.9124 14.5127 14.7834
July 14.6070 14.1647 14.3685
August 14.3952 14.1523 14.2600
September 14.4645 14.3054 14.3645
October 14.6821 14.3310 14.5330
November 14.4820 14.3250 14.4161
December 14.7951 14.3855 14.6007