2019 MDL to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.4800 DJF

YEARLY LOW

8.6135 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.1590 DJF

2019 MDL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MDL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 10.4800. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 8.6135.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8665 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.3412 to the December average rate of 10.3128, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 10.4800 was down 3.11% compared to the 2018 peak of 10.8164, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 52,400 DJF

2018 Average 52,925 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 43,067 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,332.32 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

10.4770

9.7612

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.1595, compared to 10.1586 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.1595

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.1586

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 1.8362 DJF (High: 10.4497 / Low: 8.6135). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1114 DJF (High: 9.8746 / Low: 9.7633).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.8362

June Spread (Stable) ±0.1114

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2795 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2795

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 10.4174) against the same month in 2018 (average: 10.6493), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2319 (-2.18%).

2019 Avg (February) 10.4174

2018 Avg (February) 10.6493

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.4497	8.6135	10.3412
February	10.4800	10.3551	10.4174
March	10.4556	10.2573	10.3663
April	10.2850	9.9501	10.0868
May	9.9946	9.7633	9.9246
June	9.8746	9.7633	9.8209
July	10.1933	9.8703	10.0572
August	10.2622	9.9720	10.1012
September	10.1417	9.9603	10.0585
October	10.3266	10.0508	10.1969
November	10.2786	10.1557	10.2247
December	10.3820	10.1844	10.3128