YEARLY HIGH
9.1053 DJF
YEARLY LOW
8.6184 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.9366 DJF

2016 MDL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 4, valuing the pair at 9.1053. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 8.6184.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4868 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.7426 to the December average rate of 8.8697, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.45% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 9.1053 was down 20.54% compared to the 2015 peak of 11.4584, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 45,526 DJF
2015 Average 47,478 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 43,092 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,434.24 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

9.0768
8.7122
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.9317, compared to 8.9415 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0098 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.9317
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.9415

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.3888 DJF (High: 9.0073 / Low: 8.6184). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0532 DJF (High: 9.0153 / Low: 8.9621).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3888
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0532

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0769 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0769

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 9.0464) against the same month in 2015 (average: 9.8692), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8228 (-8.34%).

2016 Avg (April) 9.0464
2015 Avg (April) 9.8692

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.0073 8.6184 8.7426
February 8.9265 8.7421 8.8509
March 9.0997 8.8718 8.9901
April 9.1053 9.0060 9.0464
May 9.0383 8.8832 8.9695
June 9.0618 8.9335 8.9907
July 9.0160 8.9190 8.9690
August 9.0153 8.9621 8.9962
September 9.0194 8.9619 8.9898
October 9.0418 8.8356 8.9467
November 8.9910 8.7871 8.8774
December 8.9879 8.8160 8.8697