2014 MDL to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.7114 DJF

YEARLY LOW

11.3469 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.7662 DJF

2014 MDL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MDL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 13.7114. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 11.3469.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3645 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.5094 to the December average rate of 11.5638, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.40% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 13.7114 was down 7.33% compared to the 2013 peak of 14.7962, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 68,557 DJF

2013 Average 70,836 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 56,735 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,822.64 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

13.7039

11.3692

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.2150, compared to 12.3174 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8975 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.2150

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.3174

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.5342 DJF (High: 11.8811 / Low: 11.3469). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2073 DJF (High: 13.4306 / Low: 13.2233).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.5342

April Spread (Stable) ±0.2073

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.4478 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4478

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 13.5094) against the same month in 2013 (average: 14.6297), the exchange rate shifted by -1.1204 (-7.66%).

2014 Avg (January) 13.5094

2013 Avg (January) 14.6297

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.7114	13.2418	13.5094
February	13.2589	13.0259	13.1901
March	13.4512	13.0345	13.2496
April	13.4306	13.2233	13.3320
May	13.3712	12.8863	13.1681
June	12.9567	12.7053	12.8406
July	12.9367	12.6939	12.7998
August	13.0894	12.7243	12.9317
September	12.7528	12.3388	12.4838
October	12.2852	12.0673	12.1818
November	12.1673	11.7775	11.9436
December	11.8811	11.3469	11.5638