2018 MDL to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.8164 DJF

YEARLY LOW

10.2875 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.5854 DJF

2018 MDL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 5, valuing the pair at 10.8164. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 10.2875.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5290 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.5448 to the December average rate of 10.3663, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 10.8164 was up 3.16% compared to the 2017 peak of 10.4848, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54,082 DJF

2017 Average 48,599 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 51,437 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,644.76 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

10.7927

10.3275

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.6395, compared to 10.5314 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1082 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.6395

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.5314

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.3072 DJF (High: 10.7783 / Low: 10.4711). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1497 DJF (High: 10.8164 / Low: 10.6667).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.3072

April Spread (Stable) ±0.1497

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1296 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1296

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 10.7540) against the same month in 2017 (average: 9.2554), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4986 (+16.19%).

2018 Avg (April) 10.7540

2017 Avg (April) 9.2554

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.7069	10.4106	10.5448
February	10.7679	10.5787	10.6493
March	10.7577	10.6003	10.6863
April	10.8164	10.6667	10.7540
May	10.7783	10.4711	10.6513
June	10.6265	10.4746	10.5515
July	10.7369	10.5304	10.6501
August	10.7898	10.5957	10.7049
September	10.6838	10.5263	10.5962
October	10.5476	10.3587	10.4666
November	10.4749	10.3222	10.4041
December	10.5138	10.2875	10.3663