2013 MDL to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

14.7962 DJF

YEARLY LOW

13.4938 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

14.1700 DJF

2013 MDL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MDL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 14.7962. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 10, dropping to 13.4938.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3024 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.6297 to the December average rate of 13.7705, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 14.7962 was down 3.73% compared to the 2012 peak of 15.3688, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 73,981 DJF

2012 Average 73,714 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 67,469 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,512.14 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

14.7439

13.6066

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.4464, compared to 13.8936 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5529 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.4464

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.8936

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was July, with a trading range of 0.7189 DJF (High: 14.7343 / Low: 14.0154). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1644 DJF (High: 14.7158 / Low: 14.5514).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.7189

January Spread (Stable) ±0.1644

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.3224 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3224

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 14.6491) against the same month in 2012 (average: 15.0817), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4326 (-2.87%).

2013 Avg (February) 14.6491

2012 Avg (February) 15.0817

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	14.7158	14.5514	14.6297
February	14.7962	14.3960	14.6491
March	14.5075	14.2765	14.3808
April	14.4462	14.2716	14.3750
May	14.5507	14.1517	14.3628
June	14.3833	14.2015	14.2813
July	14.7343	14.0154	14.3132
August	14.2126	13.8814	13.9908
September	14.0755	13.7189	13.8769
October	13.8986	13.4938	13.7014
November	13.8572	13.5511	13.7086
December	14.1225	13.5281	13.7705