2013 MDL to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

7.1140 RSD

YEARLY LOW

6.3655 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.7963 RSD

2013 MDL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MDL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 7.1140. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 6.3655.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7484 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.9428 to the December average rate of 6.4745, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 7.1140 was down 9.42% compared to the 2012 peak of 7.8538, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 35,570 RSD

2012 Average 36,307 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 31,828 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,742.14 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

7.0669

6.4109

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.9374, compared to 6.6551 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2824 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.9374

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6551

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was January, with a trading range of 0.2958 RSD (High: 7.1140 / Low: 6.8182). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1219 RSD (High: 7.0599 / Low: 6.9379).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2958

March Spread (Stable) ±0.1219

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.2663 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2663

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 6.9428) against the same month in 2012 (average: 6.9012), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0416 (+0.60%).

2013 Avg (January) 6.9428

2012 Avg (January) 6.9012

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	7.1140	6.8182	6.9428
February	6.9411	6.7640	6.8793
March	7.0599	6.9379	6.9878
April	7.0345	6.8714	6.9419
May	7.0077	6.8429	6.9166
June	7.0595	6.8854	6.9561
July	7.1074	6.9001	7.0122
August	6.8313	6.6987	6.7458
September	6.8260	6.5527	6.7043
October	6.6105	6.4128	6.4656
November	6.6134	6.3899	6.5280
December	6.6238	6.3655	6.4745