YEARLY HIGH
6.1877 RSD
YEARLY LOW
5.6999 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.0084 RSD

2019 MDL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MDL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 7, valuing the pair at 6.1877. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 5.6999.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4878 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0542 to the December average rate of 6.1278, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 6.1877 was down 1.41% compared to the 2018 peak of 6.2764, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,939 RSD
2018 Average 29,816 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 28,500 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,438.88 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

6.1649
5.7200
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9689, compared to 6.0478 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0789 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9689
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.0478

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 0.2507 RSD (High: 6.0315 / Low: 5.7808). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0799 RSD (High: 6.1596 / Low: 6.0796).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.2507
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0799

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1310 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1310

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 6.0812) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5.7849), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2963 (+5.12%).

2019 Avg (March) 6.0812
2018 Avg (March) 5.7849

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.1353 5.9405 6.0542
February 6.1282 6.0328 6.0943
March 6.1877 5.9836 6.0812
April 6.0817 5.8448 5.9502
May 5.9209 5.7899 5.8765
June 5.8083 5.6999 5.7570
July 6.0315 5.7808 5.9317
August 6.1105 5.8937 6.0046
September 6.0850 5.9655 6.0308
October 6.1390 6.0322 6.0861
November 6.1536 6.0320 6.1059
December 6.1596 6.0796 6.1278