YEARLY HIGH
6.1960 RSD
YEARLY LOW
5.6500 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.9922 RSD

2023 MDL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MDL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 13, valuing the pair at 6.1960. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 5.6500.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5460 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.7298 to the December average rate of 6.0968, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.40% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 6.1960 was down 1.22% compared to the 2022 peak of 6.2723, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,980 RSD
2022 Average 29,586 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 28,250 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,729.89 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

6.1606
5.6907
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9164, compared to 6.0680 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1516 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9164
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.0680

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was July, with a trading range of 0.3142 RSD (High: 6.0890 / Low: 5.7748). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0980 RSD (High: 6.1611 / Low: 6.0631).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.3142
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0980

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1157 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1157

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2023: 6.1214) against the same month in 2022 (average: 6.1593), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0379 (-0.62%).

2023 Avg (October) 6.1214
2022 Avg (October) 6.1593

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.8123 5.6500 5.7298
February 5.9141 5.6762 5.8411
March 5.9679 5.8193 5.8841
April 6.0027 5.8578 5.9268
May 6.1763 5.9179 6.0749
June 6.1604 5.8685 6.0415
July 6.0890 5.7748 5.9258
August 6.1461 6.0033 6.0807
September 6.1611 6.0631 6.1117
October 6.1960 6.0394 6.1214
November 6.1659 6.0050 6.0716
December 6.1706 6.0050 6.0968