YEARLY HIGH
6.2764 RSD
YEARLY LOW
5.6490 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.9618 RSD

2018 MDL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 14, valuing the pair at 6.2764. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 5.6490.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6274 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.7364 to the December average rate of 6.0533, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.52% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.2764 was up 3.02% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.0925, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,382 RSD
2017 Average 29,168 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 28,245 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,136.83 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.1951
5.6947
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.8517, compared to 6.0720 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2203 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.8517
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.0720

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.2492 RSD (High: 6.2764 / Low: 6.0272). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0928 RSD (High: 5.9025 / Low: 5.8097).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2492
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0928

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1123 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1123

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 6.1534) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.6587), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4948 (+8.74%).

2018 Avg (August) 6.1534
2017 Avg (August) 5.6587

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.8153 5.6721 5.7364
February 5.8384 5.6490 5.7472
March 5.8577 5.6984 5.7849
April 5.9025 5.8097 5.8542
May 6.0473 5.8964 5.9930
June 6.0824 5.9388 5.9945
July 6.1111 5.9698 6.0411
August 6.2764 6.0272 6.1534
September 6.1139 5.9569 6.0411
October 6.1161 5.9894 6.0612
November 6.1535 6.0202 6.0817
December 6.1105 5.9846 6.0533