2014 MDL to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.5487 RSD

YEARLY LOW

6.0396 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.3092 RSD

2014 MDL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MDL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 8, valuing the pair at 6.5487. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 30, dropping to 6.0396.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5092 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4293 to the December average rate of 6.3997, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 6.5487 was down 7.95% compared to the 2013 peak of 7.1140, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,744 RSD

2013 Average 33,979 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 30,198 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,545.92 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

6.4678

6.0699

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.2491, compared to 6.3694 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1203 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.2491

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.3694

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was July, with a trading range of 0.2524 RSD (High: 6.2952 / Low: 6.0428). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0822 RSD (High: 6.4646 / Low: 6.3824).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.2524

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0822

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1439 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1439

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 6.3997) against the same month in 2013 (average: 6.4745), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0748 (-1.16%).

2014 Avg (December) 6.3997

2013 Avg (December) 6.4745

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.5304	6.3313	6.4293
February	6.3795	6.1646	6.2855
March	6.3137	6.1562	6.2289
April	6.3104	6.1943	6.2459
May	6.2720	6.1330	6.2018
June	6.1619	6.0396	6.1030
July	6.2952	6.0428	6.1486
August	6.4375	6.2729	6.3759
September	6.5172	6.3642	6.4346
October	6.4646	6.3824	6.4231
November	6.4731	6.3403	6.4343
December	6.5487	6.3296	6.3997