YEARLY HIGH
6.2048 RSD
YEARLY LOW
5.5690 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.9833 RSD

2020 MDL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MDL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 6.2048. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 5.5690.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6357 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0947 to the December average rate of 5.6188, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 6.2048 was up 0.28% compared to the 2019 peak of 6.1877, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,024 RSD
2019 Average 30,041 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 27,845 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,178.75 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

6.1869
5.5672
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.0670, compared to 5.8996 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1674 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.0670
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8996

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.3399 RSD (High: 6.1972 / Low: 5.8573). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1009 RSD (High: 5.6699 / Low: 5.5690).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3399
December Spread (Stable) ±0.1009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1801 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1801

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2020: 6.1352) against the same month in 2019 (average: 6.0943), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0409 (+0.67%).

2020 Avg (February) 6.1352
2019 Avg (February) 6.0943

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.1876 6.0215 6.0947
February 6.2048 6.0543 6.1352
March 6.1972 5.8573 6.0221
April 6.1412 5.8385 5.9696
May 6.1599 5.9919 6.0919
June 6.1541 6.0260 6.0886
July 6.1231 5.9764 6.0569
August 6.1025 5.9382 6.0114
September 6.0452 5.9373 6.0017
October 5.9796 5.8323 5.9097
November 5.9352 5.6974 5.7990
December 5.6699 5.5690 5.6188