2011 MDL to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.7649 RUB

YEARLY LOW

2.3417 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.5109 RUB

2011 MDL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MDL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 2.7649. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 3, dropping to 2.3417.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4232 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4792 to the December average rate of 2.6821, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 2.7649 was up 3.41% compared to the 2010 peak of 2.6737, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,824 RUB

2010 Average 12,286 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 11,708 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,115.98 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

2.7124

2.3483

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4238, compared to 2.5981 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1743 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4238

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5981

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.2043 RUB (High: 2.7647 / Low: 2.5604). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0636 RUB (High: 2.4688 / Low: 2.4052).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.2043

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0636

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0610 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0610

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 2.6821) against the same month in 2010 (average: 2.5409), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1412 (+5.56%).

2011 Avg (December) 2.6821

2010 Avg (December) 2.5409

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.5411	2.4113	2.4792
February	2.4812	2.4083	2.4396
March	2.4115	2.3417	2.3786
April	2.4580	2.3754	2.4122
May	2.4494	2.3532	2.4104
June	2.4580	2.3829	2.4225
July	2.4688	2.4052	2.4257
August	2.6204	2.4300	2.5392
September	2.7647	2.5604	2.6398
October	2.7624	2.6045	2.6724
November	2.6795	2.5933	2.6292
December	2.7649	2.6058	2.6821