YEARLY HIGH
4.7354 RUB
YEARLY LOW
3.5088 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1974 RUB

2020 MDL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MDL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 2, valuing the pair at 4.7354. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 26, dropping to 3.5088.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2265 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5618 to the December average rate of 4.3031, the exchange rate registered a net change of 20.81% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 4.7354 was up 16.98% compared to the 2019 peak of 4.0479, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,677 RUB
2019 Average 18,467 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 17,544 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,132.74 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

4.6900
3.4592
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9546, compared to 4.4402 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4856 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9546
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4402

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.7357 RUB (High: 4.5355 / Low: 3.7998). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1824 RUB (High: 4.5566 / Low: 4.3742).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.7357
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1824

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1867 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1867

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2020: 4.4899) against the same month in 2019 (average: 3.6669), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8229 (+22.44%).

2020 Avg (November) 4.4899
2019 Avg (November) 3.6669

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6949 3.5088 3.5618
February 3.8011 3.5983 3.6563
March 4.5355 3.7998 4.2213
April 4.3083 4.0171 4.1346
May 4.2322 4.0155 4.1138
June 4.1851 3.9448 4.0397
July 4.4965 4.0950 4.2202
August 4.5566 4.3742 4.4654
September 4.7098 4.4694 4.5750
October 4.6702 4.4826 4.5874
November 4.7354 4.3977 4.4899
December 4.4328 4.2299 4.3031