YEARLY HIGH
4.0094 RUB
YEARLY LOW
2.9991 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.3691 RUB

2016 MDL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 4.0094. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 2.9991.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0104 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7656 to the December average rate of 3.0832, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.0094 was down 0.09% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.0129, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,047 RUB
2015 Average 16,328 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 14,995 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,051.80 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.9227
3.0069
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5263, compared to 3.2118 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3146 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5263
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2118

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.3349 RUB (High: 4.0094 / Low: 3.6746). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0883 RUB (High: 3.1995 / Low: 3.1111).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3349
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0883

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.3111 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3111

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 3.7656) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.8497), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0841 (-2.18%).

2016 Avg (January) 3.7656
2015 Avg (January) 3.8497

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0094 3.6746 3.7656
February 3.9918 3.7633 3.8464
March 3.6823 3.4379 3.5354
April 3.5086 3.2862 3.3904
May 3.3814 3.2815 3.3292
June 3.3681 3.2257 3.2911
July 3.3727 3.1740 3.2552
August 3.3900 3.2366 3.2906
September 3.3334 3.1923 3.2679
October 3.1995 3.1111 3.1539
November 3.3022 3.1647 3.2199
December 3.1736 2.9991 3.0832