YEARLY HIGH
5.6812 RUB
YEARLY LOW
3.4627 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7316 RUB

2023 MDL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MDL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 5.6812. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 3.4627.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2185 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6842 to the December average rate of 5.1724, the exchange rate registered a net change of 40.39% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 5.6812 was down 27.17% compared to the 2022 peak of 7.8003, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,406 RUB
2022 Average 18,609 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 17,313 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,092.56 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

5.5950
3.5105
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2185, compared to 5.2448 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0263 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2185
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.2448

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 0.4748 RUB (High: 5.6812 / Low: 5.2064). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1967 RUB (High: 5.1754 / Low: 4.9787).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.4748
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1967

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2779 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2779

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2023: 5.4213) against the same month in 2022 (average: 3.1572), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2641 (+71.71%).

2023 Avg (August) 5.4213
2022 Avg (August) 3.1572

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.8488 3.4627 3.6842
February 4.0410 3.7234 3.9169
March 4.2360 3.9864 4.1039
April 4.5875 4.2360 4.4910
May 4.5796 4.2835 4.4555
June 4.8539 4.5073 4.6593
July 5.2312 4.8304 5.0651
August 5.6812 5.2064 5.4213
September 5.5078 5.2813 5.3819
October 5.5652 5.1327 5.3530
November 5.1754 4.9787 5.0750
December 5.3266 5.0361 5.1724