2013 MDL to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.7276 RUB

YEARLY LOW

2.4554 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.5409 RUB

2013 MDL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MDL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 30, valuing the pair at 2.7276. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 10, dropping to 2.4554.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2722 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4926 to the December average rate of 2.5407, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.93% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 2.7276 was down 2.67% compared to the 2012 peak of 2.8024, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,638 RUB

2012 Average 12,839 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 12,277 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,361.01 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

2.6560

2.4620

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5269, compared to 2.5549 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0280 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5269

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5549

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was July, with a trading range of 0.1408 RUB (High: 2.7276 / Low: 2.5868). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0235 RUB (High: 2.5035 / Low: 2.4801).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.1408

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0235

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0659 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0659

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2013: 2.6399) against the same month in 2012 (average: 2.6220), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0179 (+0.68%).

2013 Avg (July) 2.6399

2012 Avg (July) 2.6220

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.5198	2.4720	2.4926
February	2.5035	2.4801	2.4919
March	2.5140	2.4822	2.4986
April	2.5765	2.5002	2.5429
May	2.5720	2.4997	2.5353
June	2.6474	2.5520	2.6001
July	2.7276	2.5868	2.6399
August	2.6481	2.5797	2.6001
September	2.6193	2.4796	2.5441
October	2.5201	2.4554	2.4782
November	2.5459	2.5125	2.5267
December	2.5985	2.4880	2.5407