YEARLY HIGH
4.2038 RUB
YEARLY LOW
3.3066 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7358 RUB

2018 MDL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 4.2038. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 3.3066.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8972 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.3433 to the December average rate of 3.9368, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.75% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.2038 was up 22.15% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.4415, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,019 RUB
2017 Average 15,851 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 16,533 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,485.87 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.0905
3.2753
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5590, compared to 3.9126 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3536 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5590
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9126

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.3590 RUB (High: 3.8257 / Low: 3.4667). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0697 RUB (High: 3.3763 / Low: 3.3066).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.3590
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0697

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1498 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1498

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 4.0226) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.2623), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7603 (+23.31%).

2018 Avg (September) 4.0226
2017 Avg (September) 3.2623

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.3763 3.3066 3.3433
February 3.5052 3.3340 3.4106
March 3.5099 3.3787 3.4482
April 3.8257 3.4667 3.6944
May 3.8473 3.6538 3.7372
June 3.7843 3.6637 3.7207
July 3.8235 3.6812 3.7612
August 4.1037 3.7897 3.9937
September 4.2038 3.8791 4.0226
October 3.9653 3.8228 3.8728
November 3.9979 3.8230 3.8887
December 4.1100 3.8482 3.9368