2012 MDL to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2216 SCR

YEARLY LOW

1.0389 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1358 SCR

2012 MDL to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MDL to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 14, valuing the pair at 1.2216. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 10, dropping to 1.0389.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1827 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1777 to the December average rate of 1.0753, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.2216 was up 3.35% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.1820, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,108 SCR

2011 Average 5,318 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 5,195 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 913.35 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.2081

1.0355

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1886, compared to 1.0829 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1057 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1886

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0829

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.0895 SCR (High: 1.2083 / Low: 1.1187). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0117 SCR (High: 1.0698 / Low: 1.0582).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0895

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0117

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1115 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1115

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 1.1844) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.0274), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1570 (+15.28%).

2012 Avg (February) 1.1844

2011 Avg (February) 1.0274

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2072	1.1379	1.1777
February	1.2216	1.1565	1.1844
March	1.2070	1.1527	1.1912
April	1.2186	1.1741	1.1928
May	1.2196	1.1703	1.1918
June	1.2182	1.1589	1.1937
July	1.2083	1.1187	1.1743
August	1.1203	1.0420	1.0628
September	1.0565	1.0389	1.0499
October	1.0807	1.0523	1.0708
November	1.0698	1.0582	1.0643
December	1.0880	1.0605	1.0753