2019 MDL to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8071 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.7067 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.7809 SCR

2019 MDL to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MDL to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 1, valuing the pair at 0.8071. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 11, dropping to 0.7067.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1004 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7973 to the December average rate of 0.7937, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.8071 was down 5.09% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.8504, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,036 SCR

2018 Average 4,053 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 3,534 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 501.95 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.8050

0.7495

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7813, compared to 0.7804 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0009 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7813

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7804

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0854 SCR (High: 0.7921 / Low: 0.7067). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0083 SCR (High: 0.8064 / Low: 0.7982).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0854

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0083

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0212 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0212

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 0.7974) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.8235), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0261 (-3.16%).

2019 Avg (March) 0.7974

2018 Avg (March) 0.8235

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8017	0.7905	0.7973
February	0.8064	0.7982	0.8004
March	0.8071	0.7878	0.7974
April	0.7890	0.7672	0.7762
May	0.7681	0.7508	0.7624
June	0.7607	0.7493	0.7542
July	0.7985	0.7571	0.7725
August	0.7921	0.7067	0.7709
September	0.7798	0.7672	0.7739
October	0.7951	0.7732	0.7854
November	0.8059	0.7469	0.7863
December	0.7989	0.7830	0.7937