YEARLY HIGH
1.2425 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.7152 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9974 SCR

2020 MDL to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MDL to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 15, valuing the pair at 1.2425. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 16, dropping to 0.7152.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5273 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7865 to the December average rate of 1.2328, the exchange rate registered a net change of 56.75% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.2425 was up 53.94% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.8071, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,212 SCR
2019 Average 3,904 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 3,576 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,636.47 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1.2787
0.7281
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8751, compared to 1.1197 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2446 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8751
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1197

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 0.2466 SCR (High: 0.9911 / Low: 0.7445). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0215 SCR (High: 1.0871 / Low: 1.0655).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.2466
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0215

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0081 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0081

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 1.2328) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.7937), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4391 (+55.33%).

2020 Avg (December) 1.2328
2019 Avg (December) 0.7937

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8013 0.7443 0.7865
February 0.7951 0.7566 0.7784
March 0.7955 0.7152 0.7740
April 0.9911 0.7445 0.9043
May 1.0242 0.9058 0.9835
June 1.0379 0.9742 1.0241
July 1.0832 1.0202 1.0420
August 1.1131 1.0685 1.0800
September 1.0871 1.0655 1.0799
October 1.1384 1.0660 1.0934
November 1.2204 1.1312 1.1901
December 1.2425 1.2116 1.2328