2016 MDL to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7204 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.6250 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6674 SCR

2016 MDL to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 14, valuing the pair at 0.7204. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 17, dropping to 0.6250.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0954 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6437 to the December average rate of 0.6654, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.7204 was down 20.58% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.9070, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,602 SCR

2015 Average 3,562 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 3,125 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 476.87 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6884

0.6396

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6672, compared to 0.6677 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6672

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6677

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0813 SCR (High: 0.7204 / Low: 0.6390). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0135 SCR (High: 0.6776 / Low: 0.6641).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0813

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0135

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0114 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0114

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 0.6673) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.7552), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0879 (-11.64%).

2016 Avg (February) 0.6673

2015 Avg (February) 0.7552

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6689	0.6250	0.6437
February	0.7204	0.6390	0.6673
March	0.6946	0.6489	0.6724
April	0.7177	0.6492	0.6843
May	0.7011	0.6519	0.6730
June	0.6803	0.6373	0.6622
July	0.6799	0.6421	0.6656
August	0.6838	0.6625	0.6713
September	0.6776	0.6641	0.6714
October	0.6778	0.6576	0.6671
November	0.6795	0.6508	0.6654
December	0.6745	0.6528	0.6654