2013 MDL to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0859 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.9186 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9649 SCR

2013 MDL to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MDL to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.0859. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 10, dropping to 0.9186.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1673 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0733 to the December average rate of 0.9325, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.0859 was down 11.11% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.2216, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,430 SCR

2012 Average 5,678 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 4,593 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 836.35 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.0875

0.9170

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9888, compared to 0.9410 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0478 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9888

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9410

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.0685 SCR (High: 1.0051 / Low: 0.9366). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0164 SCR (High: 0.9607 / Low: 0.9443).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0685

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0164

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0813 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0813

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 1.0733) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.1777), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1044 (-8.86%).

2013 Avg (January) 1.0733

2012 Avg (January) 1.1777

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0859	1.0601	1.0733
February	1.0623	1.0030	1.0419
March	1.0051	0.9366	0.9605
April	0.9595	0.9386	0.9502
May	0.9717	0.9421	0.9535
June	0.9607	0.9443	0.9535
July	0.9930	0.9414	0.9651
August	0.9595	0.9359	0.9454
September	0.9548	0.9314	0.9400
October	0.9485	0.9186	0.9319
November	0.9438	0.9203	0.9312
December	0.9529	0.9206	0.9325