2015 MDL to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9070 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.6112 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.7125 SCR

2015 MDL to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MDL to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 0.9070. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 4, dropping to 0.6112.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2959 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8375 to the December average rate of 0.6482, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.9070 was down 6.22% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.9672, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,535 SCR

2014 Average 4,538 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 3,056 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,479.42 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.8570

0.6233

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7600, compared to 0.6651 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0949 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7600

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6651

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.1424 SCR (High: 0.9070 / Low: 0.7646). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0236 SCR (High: 0.7630 / Low: 0.7395).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1424

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0236

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2015. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0824 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0824

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.8375) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.9159), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0784 (-8.56%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.8375

2014 Avg (January) 0.9159

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9070	0.7646	0.8375
February	0.7819	0.7349	0.7552
March	0.7645	0.7236	0.7465
April	0.7726	0.7331	0.7544
May	0.7630	0.7395	0.7498
June	0.7402	0.6810	0.7164
July	0.7100	0.6801	0.6926
August	0.7029	0.6713	0.6892
September	0.6987	0.6304	0.6628
October	0.6847	0.6349	0.6548
November	0.6676	0.6210	0.6427
December	0.6739	0.6112	0.6482