YEARLY HIGH
0.9616 CDF
YEARLY LOW
0.8809 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9385 CDF

2014 MMK to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MMK to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 17, valuing the pair at 0.9616. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 22, dropping to 0.8809.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0807 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9380 to the December average rate of 0.8985, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.9616 was down 11.01% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.0806, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,808 CDF
2013 Average 4,953 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 4,405 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 403.41 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.9650
0.8925
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9487, compared to 0.9282 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0205 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9487
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9282

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 0.0432 CDF (High: 0.9241 / Low: 0.8809). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0055 CDF (High: 0.9512 / Low: 0.9457).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0432
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0055

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0292 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0292

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2014: 0.9590) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.0426), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0837 (-8.03%).

2014 Avg (April) 0.9590
2013 Avg (April) 1.0426

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9427 0.9340 0.9380
February 0.9408 0.9313 0.9373
March 0.9611 0.9403 0.9521
April 0.9616 0.9545 0.9590
May 0.9605 0.9531 0.9568
June 0.9588 0.9399 0.9493
July 0.9516 0.9453 0.9485
August 0.9512 0.9457 0.9497
September 0.9517 0.9285 0.9415
October 0.9370 0.9210 0.9302
November 0.9241 0.8809 0.9010
December 0.9021 0.8938 0.8985