YEARLY HIGH
0.8834 CDF
YEARLY LOW
0.7059 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7835 CDF

2016 MMK to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MMK to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 9, valuing the pair at 0.8834. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 0.7059.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1776 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7133 to the December average rate of 0.8631, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.8834 was down 2.90% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.9098, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,417 CDF
2015 Average 4,200 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 3,529 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 887.81 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.8781
0.6983
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7646, compared to 0.8024 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0378 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7646
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8024

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.1651 CDF (High: 0.8716 / Low: 0.7064). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0120 CDF (High: 0.7179 / Low: 0.7059).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1651
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0120

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0315 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0315

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.8631) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.7140), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1491 (+20.89%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.8631
2015 Avg (December) 0.7140

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7179 0.7059 0.7133
February 0.7571 0.7162 0.7449
March 0.7689 0.7432 0.7621
April 0.7980 0.7630 0.7847
May 0.7972 0.7798 0.7911
June 0.8164 0.7627 0.7915
July 0.8276 0.8000 0.8074
August 0.8258 0.8078 0.8187
September 0.8135 0.7788 0.7945
October 0.7791 0.7442 0.7630
November 0.8716 0.7064 0.7676
December 0.8834 0.8385 0.8631