YEARLY HIGH
4.7824 GMD
YEARLY LOW
4.0499 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2386 GMD

2013 MOP to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MOP to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 4.7824. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 4.0499.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7326 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1896 to the December average rate of 4.7482, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.33% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 4.7824 was up 11.98% compared to the 2012 peak of 4.2709, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,912 GMD
2012 Average 19,466 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 20,249 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,662.88 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

4.8143
4.0204
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2282, compared to 4.2489 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0207 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2282
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2489

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was November, with a trading range of 0.6870 GMD (High: 4.7655 / Low: 4.0785). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0523 GMD (High: 4.1204 / Low: 4.0681).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.6870
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0523

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.3950 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3950

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 4.7482) against the same month in 2012 (average: 3.8892), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8590 (+22.09%).

2013 Avg (December) 4.7482
2012 Avg (December) 3.8892

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.2802 4.0499 4.1896
February 4.2563 4.1177 4.1737
March 4.2326 4.1275 4.1637
April 4.1903 4.1250 4.1436
May 4.4045 4.1130 4.1817
June 4.5786 4.2341 4.5169
July 4.4828 4.0787 4.1219
August 4.3951 4.0769 4.1170
September 4.1204 4.0681 4.0866
October 4.1330 4.0734 4.0923
November 4.7655 4.0785 4.3277
December 4.7824 4.7008 4.7482