YEARLY HIGH
5.4837 GMD
YEARLY LOW
4.8236 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1612 GMD

2015 MOP to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MOP to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 5.4837. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 24, dropping to 4.8236.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6601 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3727 to the December average rate of 4.9609, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 5.4837 was up 0.96% compared to the 2014 peak of 5.4313, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,419 GMD
2014 Average 24,984 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 24,118 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,300.35 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

5.4515
4.8540
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.3784, compared to 4.9440 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4344 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.3784
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9440

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was June, with a trading range of 0.4630 GMD (High: 5.4092 / Low: 4.9462). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0479 GMD (High: 5.3986 / Low: 5.3507).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.4630
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0479

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.3685 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3685

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2015: 5.3974) against the same month in 2014 (average: 4.7754), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6219 (+13.02%).

2015 Avg (February) 5.3974
2014 Avg (February) 4.7754

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4405 5.3061 5.3727
February 5.4837 5.3592 5.3974
March 5.4362 5.3417 5.3776
April 5.4322 5.3805 5.4017
May 5.3986 5.3507 5.3841
June 5.4092 4.9462 5.3367
July 5.0171 4.9195 4.9682
August 5.0175 4.9147 4.9798
September 5.0995 4.8711 4.9328
October 4.9630 4.8236 4.9037
November 4.9638 4.8673 4.9182
December 5.0445 4.9235 4.9609